15 Minutes
Cover of Enlightenment Now

Economy and Society · 16 min

Enlightenment Now

Steven Pinker · 2018

Who it's for

For anyone who feels like the world only gets worse every time they watch the news and wants to check that feeling against real numbers on health, wealth, and violence over time. Also useful for people who like to talk politics and society with data in hand instead of just opinions.

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3 ideas to take with you

1

Extreme poverty falling worldwide doesn't erase inequality inside each country. They are two different problems, measured with different yardsticks.

2

Availability bias makes the most shocking story of the week weigh more in your mind than the actual numbers behind any risk.

3

According to the book, distrusting technical data in the name of group identity is one of the engines of the populism the author criticizes.

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In your grandmother's generation, losing a little brother was treated as a normal part of life, and that changed too fast to make the news every day.
An idea from Enlightenment Now, in the words of 15 Minutes

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What the author calls the Enlightenment

The book starts from a common feeling: the news gives the impression that the world is falling apart, with war, crime, and environmental collapse all happening at once and always getting worse. Pinker proposes checking that feeling against real numbers, over decades, instead of trusting only what flashed across the screen this morning.

To do that, he revives four ideals of the Enlightenment, the European intellectual movement of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries: reason, which means deciding based on evidence and not just group instinct; science, testing ideas against reality instead of accepting them out of tradition; humanism, measuring what's right by the well-being of flesh-and-blood people; and progress, the bet that human problems can be solved and are not a fixed destiny.

The central thesis is not that everything is perfect. It's that, compared with any previous century, most of the curves that measure human suffering are going down, and most of the curves that measure well-being are going up, once someone takes the trouble to measure.

Entropy, evolution, and information: the scientific basis of the argument

Before getting into the data, the book goes through three ideas from hard science. The first is entropy: every closed system naturally tends toward disorder, so an organized society is never automatic. It takes energy and constant effort to keep from falling apart on its own.

The second is evolution: the human brain was shaped to survive in a small group of hunter-gatherers, not to interpret newspaper statistics. That explains why we react with disproportionate fear to certain dangers and with indifference to others that kill far more people.

The third is information: accumulated knowledge is passed between generations through writing, school, and later the internet, which lets each generation start from a higher level than the last instead of reinventing everything from scratch.

Life: why we live almost twice as long as people used to

A few centuries ago, global life expectancy hovered around thirty years, dragged down mostly by the deaths of small children. Today the world average is over seventy, the result of basic sanitation, vaccines, and simple medical knowledge spreading.

Almost every older family carries this history without realizing it: a great-grandmother who lost a brother as a baby, something treated as normal until quite recently and now rare enough to shock when it happens.

This doesn't erase the suffering of those who still face serious illness or lose someone young. It only shows that the pattern, seen from a distance and by the numbers, has changed in a real and measurable way.

It's worth noting that the old life expectancy average was dragged down precisely by mass early death: anyone who survived childhood had a real chance of growing old. What actually changed is that this first barrier became much rarer to fall at.

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About Steven Pinker

Steven Pinker was born in Montreal, Canada, in 1954, and is now a professor of psychology at Harvard University. Before writing about historical progress, he was already known for his research on language and cognition, including the book The Blank Slate. Bill Gates once called Enlightenment Now one of his favorite books about the state of the world. The book was originally published in 2018.

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