15 Minutes
Cover of The Warren Buffett Way

Personal Finance · 16 min

The Warren Buffett Way

Robert G. Hagstrom · 1994

Who it's for

For anyone who wants to understand the logic behind Warren Buffett's decisions, not just his biography, and to use that way of thinking to evaluate a business more calmly, whether in the stock market or outside it.

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3 ideas to take with you

1

According to Hagstrom, an executive who admits a mistake in writing in the shareholder letter reveals more about the company's future than any single number from that quarter.

2

According to the book, paying a high price for a stock relative to what the company is really worth is taking on risk, even if the price keeps climbing for a while.

3

According to Hagstrom, Buffett looks at owner earnings, the cash that truly is left over, and not just the accounting result on the balance sheet.

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According to the book, Buffett leaves out any business he doesn't understand, even when everyone around him is buying.
An idea from The Warren Buffett Way, in the words of 15 Minutes

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A manual of the method, not a biography

Some books tell the story of Warren Buffett's life, and some try to explain how he thinks when deciding where to put his money. The Warren Buffett Way, by American investment manager Robert G. Hagstrom, published in 1994, is the second kind: it nearly ignores his childhood in Omaha and goes straight to the point, which criteria Buffett uses to pick a company and which ones he uses to turn one down.

Hagstrom organizes those criteria into a checklist of four groups of tenets (business, management, financial and market) and tests each group against real Berkshire Hathaway purchases, such as the Washington Post and Coca-Cola. It is less life story, more X-ray of a decision.

It is worth reading even if you have no plans to become a stock investor, because much of the method works for evaluating any business: the corner diner, the shop a relative wants to open, or the company promising you a new job.

Two schools become a third path: Graham's rigor and Fisher's eye

Benjamin Graham was Buffett's professor at Columbia and defended an almost mathematical discipline: buy a stock at a price well below what the company's numbers said it was worth, creating a cushion against miscalculation. It is a cold, spreadsheet-driven method that treats the market as a place to bargain-hunt for numbers.

Philip Fisher thought differently. To him, numbers alone don't tell the whole story, and it is worth talking to a company's suppliers, competitors and customers to understand whether management is good and the product has a future. Hagstrom calls this the scuttlebutt method: listening to everyone around the business before deciding.

Buffett started out leaning more toward Graham, buying cheap by the numbers, and gradually took on Fisher's focus on the quality of management and product. The method described in the book is born from that fusion: start with the numbers, finish by evaluating people and brand.

Charlie Munger changes the criterion: pay more for a much better company

Charlie Munger pushed Buffett away from the strategy of buying a bad company just because it was cheap, which Buffett himself nicknamed taking one last puff from a cigar butt: a small, one-time profit before the business goes out for good.

The turning point, according to Hagstrom, was accepting a fair price for an excellent company instead of a low price for a mediocre one. An excellent company keeps generating profit year after year, while a bad company usually stays bad, only now with the investor's money inside it.

That change in criteria explains later Berkshire purchases that weren't cheap by Graham's classic numbers but were justified by the lasting quality of the business, a kind of bet the Graham of the 1930s would probably have turned down.

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About Robert G. Hagstrom

Robert G. Hagstrom is an American investment manager who spent years working with funds tied to Legg Mason before moving into roles as an investment strategist. He wrote The Warren Buffett Way in 1994, a book that became one of the most widely read on Buffett's method outside Berkshire Hathaway's own reports. Hagstrom has also published other books on quality investing and portfolio concentration, expanding on the ideas presented in this work.

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